Calculate the Complement of an Event | The Center for Quantitative Studies | Studio Aletheia
The Center for Quantitative Studies spinning orb Studio Aletheia · The Center for Quantitative Studies 6.DPSR.2.3SC 6th Grade Math

Calculate the Complement of an Event

Lesson 21 · New Content, Calculate the Complement of an Event

Every event has an opposite: everything that happens when the event doesn't. Today you'll learn a shortcut for finding the probability of that opposite, called the complement, using nothing more than subtraction.

Focus Complementary Events
Accountability Data Journal + Exit Ticket
Indicator Calculate the probability of the complement of an event using...
The Center for Quantitative Studies Color Palette Aletheian Green · Aletheian Gold
Learning Targets

Learning Targets and Success Criteria

Today you'll learn a shortcut for finding the probability of everything an event is not.

Targets

What I will learn

  • I can identify the complement of a given event.
  • I can calculate the probability of a complement using P(not A) = 1 − P(A).
  • I can explain why an event and its complement always add up to 1.
  • I can check a complement calculation by adding the two probabilities together.
Success Criteria

What success looks like

  • I can state the complement of at least three different events correctly.
  • I can calculate at least three complement probabilities using subtraction.
  • I can explain in a sentence why P(A) + P(not A) always equals 1.
  • I can verify my complement calculation by checking that both probabilities sum to 1.
Standard 6.DPSR.2.3

Calculate the probability of everything that is not the event.

6.DPSR.2.3 — Calculate the probability of the complement of an event (everything that is NOT the event) using P(not A) = 1 − P(A).
Vocabulary

The words we'll use in today's lesson.

These terms will carry through today's mini-lesson, Data Lab, hands-on activity, journal, and exit challenge, and they'll keep coming back all year.

01 · Calculate

Complementary Event

The event that everything that is NOT the original event happens instead; P(not A) = 1 − P(A).

College & Career Connections

Where this shows up in the real world.

Thinking like a mathematician is not just a school skill. It's what people get paid to do every day, in jobs you may not have heard of yet.

Actuary / Insurance Analyst

The Odds of Nothing Happening

Insurance only makes sense because most years, nothing bad happens — and actuaries need to know that probability just as precisely as the probability of a claim. Soon you'll see that the shortcut you're learning today, P(not A) = 1 − P(A), is exactly how they calculate it.

Mini-Lesson

Everything Else That Could Happen

Today you'll learn a shortcut for finding the probability of everything an event is not.

Take any event, like rolling a 3 on a number cube. There's exactly one way for it to happen, and five ways for it not to happen (rolling a 1, 2, 4, 5, or 6). That second group, everything that is NOT the original event, is called the complementary eventThe event that everything that is NOT the original event happens instead; P(not A) = 1 − P(A).. Together, an event and its complement always cover every single possible outcome — there's nothing left over.

Because an event and its complement cover everything, their probabilities always add up to exactly 1. That gives you a shortcut: instead of counting all the outcomes in the complement, you can just calculate P(not A) = 1 − P(A). If the probability of rolling a 3 is 1/6, the probability of not rolling a 3 is 1 − 1/6, which is 5/6, and you never had to count those five outcomes one at a time. This shortcut works no matter how big or complicated the total outcomes get, which is exactly why it's worth learning well.

Adapted from Studio Aletheia's The Center for Quantitative Studies curriculum library, drawing on mathematical resources and the SC CCR Mathematics Standards.

Check for Understanding · CFU 1
A bag has 20 marbles, and the probability of pulling a red marble is 1/4. What is the probability of NOT pulling a red marble? Use the complement rule to show your work.
Toolkit

Materials for the Data Lab.

  • A. A number cube (1-6)
  • B. A spinner divided into equal sections
  • C. A bag of 10 or 20 marbles
  • D. Your Data Journal
  • E. A calculator (optional)
Non-negotiable routine

Whenever you're asked for 'not' an event, subtract the event's probability from 1 instead of recounting outcomes.

Guided Practice

Complement Lab

Today's lab gives you a probability for an event, and you'll use the complement rule to find the rest.

Data Lab
Each scenario below gives you the probability of one event — calculate the probability of its complement.
1 · Identify
Identify the given event and its probability in each scenario.
2 · Calculate
Calculate the probability of the complement using P(not A) = 1 − P(A).
3 · Check
Check your answer by adding the event's probability and its complement's probability together.
4 · Explain
Explain what the complement means in the context of the scenario.
Hands-On

Find What's Left

You'll calculate complements for all four scenarios and verify each one adds up to 1.

1
Record: Record the given probability for each of the four scenarios.
2
Apply: Apply the complement rule, P(not A) = 1 − P(A), to each one.
3
Verify: Verify each answer by adding the event and complement probabilities to confirm they equal 1.
4
Explain: Explain, in words, what the complement represents for one scenario of your choice.
Required

Data Journal Entry

Which Mathematical Process Standard did you rely on most today — Problem Solving, Connections, Representation & Communication, Analyze & Justify, or Structure & Patterns? Give one specific example from your Data Lab or hands-on work.
Checklist

Accountability Checklist

Required · Exit Challenge

What's Not Happening?

A spinner has 8 equal sections, and the probability of landing on green is 3/8. Find the probability of the complementary event and explain what it represents.

Lesson 21 · New Content, Calculate the Complement of an Event

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